FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round

Dec 4, 2021 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Port Vale

Leak (23')
Shaughnessy (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Politic (79', 82')

Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round clash between Burton Albion and Port Vale.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.75%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
37.25%	24.45%	38.3%

Both teams to score 59.78%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94%

43.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54%

65.46%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.05%

22.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.26%

56.74%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.59%

22.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.07%

55.93%

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 37.25%

Port Vale 38.3%

Draw 24.45%

Burton Albion	Draw	Port Vale
2-1 @ 8.33% 1-0 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.26% Total : 37.25%	1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.45%	1-2 @ 8.47% 0-1 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 4.22% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 2.87% 1-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.38% Total : 38.3%