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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 37.99% | 25.93% | 36.08% |
| Both teams to score 54.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% | 71.86% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% | 25.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% | 60.56% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% | 26.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.98% | 62.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 1-0 @ 9.33% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 3.8% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 2.5% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.93% | 0-1 @ 9.05% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 5.97% 1-3 @ 3.57% 0-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.08% |