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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 56.08% | 24.38% | 19.54% |
| Both teams to score 46.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.23% | 53.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.76% | 75.24% |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.94% | 19.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.34% | 50.66% |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% | 42.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% | 78.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 5.27% 4-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.07% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 8.01% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.95% 1-2 @ 4.99% 0-2 @ 3.01% 1-3 @ 1.44% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.54% |