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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 56.38% | 23.88% | 19.74% |
| Both teams to score 48.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% | 73.39% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.86% | 18.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% | 40.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.84% | 77.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 9.67% 3-0 @ 6.1% 3-1 @ 5.51% 4-0 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 2.48% 4-1 @ 2.35% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.32% Total : 56.37% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.87% | 0-1 @ 6.64% 1-2 @ 5.11% 0-2 @ 3% 1-3 @ 1.54% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.25% Total : 19.74% |