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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 60.45% | 22.32% | 17.22% |
| Both teams to score 48.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.06% | 48.94% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.97% | 71.03% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% | 15.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% | 44.87% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.08% | 41.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.63% | 78.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% 2-0 @ 11.27% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.95% 3-1 @ 6.04% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.63% 4-2 @ 1.21% 5-0 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.32% | 0-1 @ 5.74% 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-2 @ 2.5% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.22% |