Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 60.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.27%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.