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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | MK Dons |
| 39.35% | 27.2% | 33.45% |
| Both teams to score 49.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.58% | 55.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.39% | 76.61% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% | 27.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.01% | 62.99% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.91% | 31.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.59% | 67.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.33% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 3.07% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.97% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.55% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 7.53% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 3% Total : 33.45% |