Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.