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FA Cup

Portsmouth
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park

Portsmouth
1 - 0
Harrow Borough

Harness (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Adenola (45+1'), Uche (90+5')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Portsmouth and Harrow Borough.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 76.48%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Harrow Borough had a probability of 8.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.07%) and 3-0 (10.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Harrow Borough win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
PortsmouthDrawHarrow Borough
76.48%15.36%8.16%
Both teams to score 44.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.62%40.38%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.24%62.76%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.19%8.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.78%30.22%
Harrow Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.27%51.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.17%85.83%
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 76.48%
    Harrow Borough 8.16%
    Draw 15.36%
PortsmouthDrawHarrow Borough
2-0 @ 13.45%
1-0 @ 11.07%
3-0 @ 10.89%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 7.18%
4-0 @ 6.61%
4-1 @ 4.36%
5-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.37%
5-1 @ 2.12%
4-2 @ 1.44%
6-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 76.48%
1-1 @ 7.3%
0-0 @ 4.56%
2-2 @ 2.92%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.36%
0-1 @ 3.01%
1-2 @ 2.41%
0-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 8.16%