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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 35.85% | 27.05% | 37.1% |
| Both teams to score 50.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.42% | 54.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% | 75.92% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% | 29.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.93% | 65.06% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.61% | 28.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.87% | 64.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.19% 2-1 @ 7.92% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.84% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 8.09% 0-2 @ 6.56% 1-3 @ 3.4% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.09% |