Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-0 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.