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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.45%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 36.09% | 26.58% | 37.33% |
| Both teams to score 52.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.35% | 52.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.7% | 74.29% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.94% | 28.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.28% | 63.72% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% | 62.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% 2-1 @ 8.03% 2-0 @ 6.19% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.8% Total : 36.09% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 7.67% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.45% 1-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.25% 1-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.09% Total : 37.33% |