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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 35.97% | 26.02% | 38.01% |
| Both teams to score 54.14% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% | 50.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% | 72.22% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% | 27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% | 62.35% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.16% | 25.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.2% | 60.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 6.97% 2-2 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-2 @ 6.39% 1-3 @ 3.77% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.47% 1-4 @ 1.28% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.01% |