Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.