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Championship header 2

League One

Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Burton Albion
4 - 1
Crewe

Chapman (6'), Brayford (25'), Hemmings (34'), Jebbison (90+2')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lowery (19')
Offord (75'), Finney (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.36%23.84%22.79%
Both teams to score 53.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04%47.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86%70.13%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.09%17.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.29%48.7%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57%35.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81%72.19%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 53.36%
    Crewe Alexandra 22.79%
    Draw 23.84%
Burton AlbionDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 5.58%
3-0 @ 5.38%
3-2 @ 2.9%
4-1 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 53.36%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.84%
0-1 @ 6.58%
1-2 @ 5.87%
0-2 @ 3.42%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.75%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.79%