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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 21.45% | 23.96% | 54.59% |
| Both teams to score 50.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.08% | 49.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.09% | 71.91% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.18% | 37.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.4% | 74.6% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.82% | 18.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.83% | 49.17% |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 6.69% 2-1 @ 5.54% 2-0 @ 3.25% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.53% 3-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.45% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.88% 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 11.72% 0-2 @ 9.99% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 5.52% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-4 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.59% |