Crewe
2 - 4
Rotherham

Mandron (11'), Robertson (71')
Ramsay (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sadlier (41'), Smith (57'), Kayode (82'), Ladapo (90+4')
Harding (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Crewe Alexandra and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Rotherham United
20.9%	22.67%	56.43%

Both teams to score 54.17%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.85%

45.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.5%

67.5%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.33%

35.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.56%

72.43%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2%

15.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.04%

44.95%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 20.9%

Rotherham United 56.42%

Draw 22.67%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 5.81% 2-1 @ 5.53% 2-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 1.9% 3-2 @ 1.75% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.88% Total : 20.9%	1-1 @ 10.72% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.67%	0-1 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.59% 1-3 @ 6.08% 0-3 @ 5.9% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.81% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 1.45% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.42% Total : 56.42%