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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 54.7% | 24.12% | 21.18% |
| Both teams to score 50.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.16% | 50.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.28% | 72.72% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.52% | 18.48% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.32% | 49.68% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% | 38.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% | 75.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-0 @ 10.17% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-1 @ 5.45% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.7% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.11% | 0-1 @ 6.79% 1-2 @ 5.46% 0-2 @ 3.23% 1-3 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.46% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.49% Total : 21.18% |