League One Gameweek 34
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 36' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 42' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 56' goal
  • Dion Charles 67' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • yellowcard George Marsh 12'

Bolton Wanderers vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion 3 - 1 Bolton
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Oladapo Afolayan

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 1 - 1 Sunderland
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jack Rudoni

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 17.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 60.13%
Draw 22.68%
AFC Wimbledon 17.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.78%

Goals

Over 2.5 49.55%
Under 2.5 50.45%
Over 3.5 27.62%
Under 3.5 72.38%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 83.61%
Under 0.5 16.39%
Over 1.5 53.97%
Under 1.5 46.02%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 57.14%
Under 0.5 42.86%
Over 1.5 20.83%
Under 1.5 79.17%

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 60.12%
Draw 22.68%
AFC Wimbledon 17.19%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 12.7%
2-0 @ 11.48%
2-1 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.87%
4-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 2.65%
3-2 @ 2.49%
5-0 @ 1.13%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 60.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 22.68%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 5.95%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 17.19%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Will Nightingale 20' goal
  • Nik Tzanev 22' yellowcard
  • Ben Heneghan 62' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Presley 74' goal
  • Dapo Mebude 75' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 23'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 35'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 48'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 53'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 56' goal
  • Joe Dodoo 95' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 41'
  • yellowcard Max Sanders 62'
  • goal Marcus Forss 82'
League One
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 15' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 39'
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 66'
League One
Aug 13, 2016 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Andy Barcham 16' goal
  • Barry Fuller 85' yellowcard
  • goal Gary Madine 34'
  • yellowcard Mark Davies 54'
  • goal Liam Trotter 70'
  • yellowcard Zach Clough 84'