League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Valley
Charlton3 - 2AFC Wimbledon
We said: Charlton Athletic 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Although we expect the encounter to be closely contested, the momentum is with Charlton after collecting seven points from their previous three league games, and we believe that Jackson's troops have enough quality to edge out the visitors on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 61.76% | 22% | 16.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
