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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 16.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.68%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 61.76% | 22% | 16.24% |
| Both teams to score 47.9% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% | 49.26% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.68% | 71.32% |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% | 15.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.73% | 44.28% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.64% | 43.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.41% | 79.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% 2-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 9.76% 3-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.27% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.15% Total : 61.75% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.69% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.59% 1-2 @ 4.37% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.24% |