Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 23.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.