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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Sykes (27'), Taylor (38'), Long (60')
Kane (43'), Moore (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Csoka (62'), Woodyard (72'), Marsh (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Oxford United 2-1 AFC Wimbledon

Two sides with contrasting fortunes so far this season, the form book points towards a comfortable Oxford win. While Wimbledon will likely be no pushovers, the playoff-chasing U's should have enough to edge past their London opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
59.14%22.11%18.75%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97%68.03%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91%15.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37%43.63%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77%38.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25%74.99%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 59.13%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.75%
    Draw 22.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 6.25%
4-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.13%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.55%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.75%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs AFC Wimbledon

Oxford United
57.1%
Draw
22.9%
AFC Wimbledon
20.0%
35
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
AFC Wimbledon
3-1
Oxford Utd
Rudoni (55', 81'), Nightingale (78')
Guinness-Walker (37'), Heneghan (54'), Chislett (79')
Sykes (45+1')
Seddon (13')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
AFC Wimbledon
2-1
Oxford Utd
Pigott (62' pen.), Woodyard (64')
Pigott (58'), Guinness-Walker (81')
Ruffels (52')
Henry (62')
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Oxford Utd
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Winnall (13', 29'), Shodipo (52')
Chislett (78')
Longman (82')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Oxford Utd
2-0
AFC Wimbledon
Obita (13'), Taylor (22')
Rodriguez (50'), Agyei (83')

Thomas (21'), Csoka (45+3')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Oxford Utd win 4-3 on penalties
Brannagan (63')
Taylor (67' og.)
Hartigan (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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