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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kassam Stadium
AFC Wimbledon

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
AFC Wimbledon

Sykes (27'), Taylor (38'), Long (60')
Kane (43'), Moore (76')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Csoka (62'), Woodyard (72'), Marsh (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Oxford United and AFC Wimbledon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
59.14%22.11%18.75%
Both teams to score 52.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.29%45.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.97%68.03%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91%15.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.37%43.63%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.77%38.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25%74.99%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 59.13%
    AFC Wimbledon 18.75%
    Draw 22.11%
Oxford UnitedDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.91%
2-0 @ 10.31%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 6.25%
4-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.96%
4-2 @ 1.42%
5-0 @ 1.16%
5-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 59.13%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 5.77%
2-2 @ 4.77%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.55%
1-2 @ 5.04%
0-2 @ 2.67%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.75%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs AFC Wimbledon

Oxford United
57.1%
Draw
22.9%
AFC Wimbledon
20.0%
35
rhs 2.0


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