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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 55.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 21.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for MK Dons in this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 55.16% | 23.39% | 21.45% |
| Both teams to score 52.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.45% | 47.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% | 69.75% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.9% | 17.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.7% | 47.29% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.52% | 36.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.74% | 73.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.73% 3-1 @ 5.78% 3-0 @ 5.73% 3-2 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.55% 4-0 @ 2.53% 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.92% Total : 55.15% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 6.24% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 6.29% 1-2 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.78% Total : 21.45% |