League One

League One | Gameweek 28

Jan 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
1 - 3
Burton Albion

McKenzie (3')
Tucker (25'), Dempsey (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hamer (50'), Brayford (79'), Smith (87')
Hamer (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 25.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.21%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (8.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Burton Albion
25.82%	26.84%	47.34%

Both teams to score 47.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.88%

57.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.01%

78%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.22%

37.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45%

74.55%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.85%

24.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.53%

58.47%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 25.82%

Burton Albion 47.34%

Draw 26.84%

Gillingham	Draw	Burton Albion
1-0 @ 8.88% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.42% 3-0 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.82%	1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 9.21% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-3 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 4.25% 2-3 @ 2.07% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.34%