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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 28.84% | 26.6% | 44.56% |
| Both teams to score 49.96% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.43% | 54.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.08% | 75.92% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% | 33.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.39% | 70.61% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.63% | 24.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.22% | 58.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 6.82% 2-0 @ 4.83% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.84% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.59% | 0-1 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 8.91% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 4.19% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 2.27% 1-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.55% Total : 44.56% |