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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 57.37% | 23.12% | 19.51% |
| Both teams to score 50.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% | 48.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% | 70.95% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% | 16.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.26% | 46.73% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% | 39.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% | 75.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 11.74% 2-0 @ 10.48% 2-1 @ 9.81% 3-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 5.84% 4-0 @ 2.78% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 0.99% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.98% Total : 57.35% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 5.15% 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 1.61% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.51% |