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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 44.76% | 25.88% | 29.36% |
| Both teams to score 52.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% | 51.49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% | 73.3% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% | 22.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% | 56.71% |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.07% | 31.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.62% | 68.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% 2-1 @ 9.06% 2-0 @ 7.94% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.9% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.64% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.08% Total : 44.76% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.17% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 8.36% 1-2 @ 7.03% 0-2 @ 4.77% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.36% |