Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.