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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 36.67% | 28.58% | 34.76% |
| Both teams to score 46.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.64% | 60.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.49% | 80.51% |
| AFC Wimbledon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% | 31.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% | 67.9% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% | 32.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.93% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 4.29% Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.57% | 0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 6.43% 1-3 @ 2.76% 0-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.75% |