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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 47.77%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (9.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 23.55% | 28.68% | 47.77% |
| Both teams to score 40.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.45% | 64.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.43% | 83.57% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.89% | 44.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.79% | 80.22% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.67% | 27.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.21% | 62.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.87% 2-1 @ 5.24% 2-0 @ 4.04% 3-1 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.1% 3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.55% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 12.05% 2-2 @ 3.4% Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 15.63% 0-2 @ 10.14% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-3 @ 4.38% 1-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.42% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.66% Total : 47.76% |