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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 45.57% | 25.55% | 28.88% |
| Both teams to score 53.22% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% | 50.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.3% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% | 22.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% | 55.43% |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.3% | 31.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.88% | 68.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% 2-1 @ 9.17% 2-0 @ 7.98% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 45.57% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.98% 0-2 @ 4.62% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.02% 0-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.88% |