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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 47.02% | 25.64% | 27.34% |
| Both teams to score 51.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.4% | 51.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% | 73.39% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.05% | 21.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.48% | 33.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.84% | 70.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.25% 2-0 @ 8.46% 3-1 @ 4.68% 3-0 @ 4.28% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.01% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 7.36% 2-2 @ 5.05% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.84% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.38% Total : 27.35% |