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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 27.83% | 26.59% | 45.58% |
| Both teams to score 49.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.97% | 55.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.71% | 76.29% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% | 34.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% | 71.7% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% | 24.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.64% | 58.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 8.85% 2-1 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 4.65% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-0 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.12% Total : 27.83% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.42% 2-2 @ 4.71% Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 11.98% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 8.53% 1-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 4.05% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.52% 0-4 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.59% Total : 45.58% |