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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Plymouth Argyle.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 46.2% | 26.83% | 26.97% |
| Both teams to score 48.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% | 56.42% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% | 77.43% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% | 24.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% | 36.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.8% | 73.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.53% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 8.84% 3-1 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.16% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.47% Total : 46.2% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 4.51% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 8.97% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.53% 1-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.53% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.97% |