Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.5%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 68.5% | 18.55% | 12.94% |
| Both teams to score 50.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.95% | 41.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.56% | 63.44% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.06% | 10.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.85% | 35.15% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% | 42.96% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% | 79.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-0 @ 11.5% 1-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 7.17% 4-0 @ 4.7% 4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.03% 5-0 @ 2.08% 5-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 4.01% Total : 68.49% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 0-0 @ 4.7% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.96% Total : 18.55% | 0-1 @ 3.97% 1-2 @ 3.71% 0-2 @ 1.68% 2-3 @ 1.16% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.94% |