League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe1 - 1Gillingham
We said: Morecambe 1-2 Gillingham
Gillingham have been boosted by new manager Harris, and that could be the difference between the two sides on Saturday, with Morecambe winless in their last four outings. Having scored two goals in Harris's first three games, Gillingham are likely to have worked on being more clinical in the final third, but they are unlikely to keep another clean sheet given their poor defensive record this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 48.84% | 26.19% | 24.97% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
