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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 24.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 48.84% | 26.19% | 24.97% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% | 55.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.46% | 76.54% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% | 22.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% | 56.35% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.47% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.69% | 74.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.63% 2-0 @ 9.37% 2-1 @ 9.18% 3-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-1 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.84% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 8.52% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.35% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.68% Total : 24.97% |