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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
| 37.37% | 27.21% | 35.42% |
| Both teams to score 50.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.77% | 55.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.54% | 76.46% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.28% | 29.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.21% | 65.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.69% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.49% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.42% |