Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.