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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 31.97% | 24.66% | 43.37% |
| Both teams to score 57.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% | 45.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% | 67.46% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.06% | 26.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.72% | 62.27% |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% | 20.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 2-1 @ 7.58% 1-0 @ 7.38% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.07% Total : 31.97% | 1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-1 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.1% 1-4 @ 1.85% 0-4 @ 1.41% 2-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.7% Total : 43.37% |