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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 20.75% | 22.78% | 56.47% |
| Both teams to score 53.59% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.19% | 45.81% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% | 68.13% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.81% | 36.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% | 16.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% | 45.35% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 5.89% 2-1 @ 5.48% 2-0 @ 3% 3-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.7% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.75% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 0-0 @ 5.8% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.78% | 0-1 @ 10.61% 1-2 @ 9.88% 0-2 @ 9.72% 1-3 @ 6.03% 0-3 @ 5.94% 2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 2.76% 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 1.4% 1-5 @ 1.01% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.33% Total : 56.47% |