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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 34.01% | 26.43% | 39.56% |
| Both teams to score 52.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% | 52.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.05% | 73.94% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.86% | 29.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.92% | 65.07% |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.1% | 25.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.12% | 60.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.74% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.55% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.89% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.1% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.35% Total : 39.55% |