League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
0 - 2
Rotherham

Johnson (33'), Robertson (68'), Sass-Davies (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (7'), Richards (74' og.)
Ihiekwe (25'), Wood (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Rotherham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 16.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Rotherham United
16.44%	21.76%	61.8%

Both teams to score 49.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09%

47.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91%

70.09%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.71%

42.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.31%

78.69%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03%

14.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6%

43.41%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 16.44%

Rotherham United 61.79%

Draw 21.75%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Rotherham United
1-0 @ 5.45% 2-1 @ 4.45% 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.44%	1-1 @ 10.34% 0-0 @ 6.33% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.75%	0-1 @ 12.02% 0-2 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 7.23% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-4 @ 3.43% 1-4 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 2.68% 0-5 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.27% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.33% Total : 61.79%

How you voted: Crewe vs Rotherham

Crewe Alexandra

0.0%

Draw

16.7%

Rotherham United

83.3%