League One

League One | Gameweek 30

Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
2 - 7
Oxford Utd

Lloyd (62'), McKenzie (85')
Lee (11'), Carayol (18'), Dahlberg (47')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Bodin (8'), Brannagan (12' pen., 48' pen., 55' pen., 83' pen.), Taylor (19'), Forde (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Gillingham and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Oxford United
22.22%	25.13%	52.65%

Both teams to score 48.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.31%

53.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.82%

75.18%

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.81%

39.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.1%

75.9%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61%

20.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.19%

52.82%

Score Analysis

Gillingham 22.22%

Oxford United 52.64%

Draw 25.13%

Gillingham	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.49% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.22%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.99% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 12.7% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-3 @ 5.35% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-4 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.99% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 52.64%