League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Priestfield Stadium
Gillingham2 - 7Oxford Utd
We said: Gillingham 0-2 Oxford United
An away win is on the cards in this clash of two teams with very different ambitions for the rest of the campaign, as Oxford are well-placed to take advantage of their hosts' defensive frailties. The pressure to produce is relentless at this stage of the season, given such a tightly-packed top half of the League One table, but the U's can make the most of their firepower to take a stranglehold of the game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 52.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Oxford United |
| 22.22% | 25.13% | 52.65% |
| Both teams to score 48.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
