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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 49.14% | 25.39% | 25.46% |
| Both teams to score 51.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.09% | 51.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.35% | 73.65% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% | 21.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.01% | 53.99% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.77% | 35.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.02% | 71.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.99% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.14% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 7.77% 1-2 @ 6.3% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.46% |