League One

League One | Gameweek 22

Dec 11, 2021 at 3pm UK

Stadium MK

MK Dons
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Oxford United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Oxford United.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Oxford United
33.3%	25.45%	41.24%

Both teams to score 55.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.77%

48.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.62%

70.38%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.37%

27.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.83%

63.17%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.78%

23.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.87%

57.12%

Score Analysis

MK Dons 33.3%

Oxford United 41.24%

Draw 25.44%

MK Dons	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 8.25% 2-1 @ 7.75% 2-0 @ 5.31% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.9% Total : 33.3%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.42% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 6.84% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.75% 1-4 @ 1.56% 0-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons

42.9%

Draw

0.0%

Oxford United

57.1%