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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 65.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 13.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Gillingham |
| 65.77% | 20.6% | 13.63% |
| Both teams to score 46.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.57% | 48.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% | 70.57% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.1% | 13.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.66% | 41.33% |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.47% | 46.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.87% | 82.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Gillingham |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% 2-0 @ 12.59% 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 8.28% 3-1 @ 6.34% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-1 @ 3.13% 3-2 @ 2.42% 5-0 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.48% Total : 65.76% | 1-1 @ 9.77% 0-0 @ 6.47% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.6% | 0-1 @ 4.95% 1-2 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 1.89% 1-3 @ 0.95% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.16% Total : 13.63% |