Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.