League One | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Globe Arena
Morecambe2 - 1Oxford Utd
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Sunderland
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Doncaster
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 20 | 80 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
We said: Morecambe 1-2 Oxford United
Morecambe may have ended their winless run on Saturday, but they will be fully aware that Oxford will present a much stiffer test as the U's bid to clinch a playoff place. Although Morecambe will be buoyed by their victory over Burton, we think they will struggle to replicate that feat on Tuesday, and we expect Oxford to claim a league double over the Shrimps after winning 3-1 in the reverse fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Oxford United |
| 27.28% | 23.62% | 49.09% |
| Both teams to score 58.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
