Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
| 19 | Morecambe | 46 | -31 | 42 |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cheltenham Town | 46 | -14 | 56 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 41.93% | 25.58% | 32.48% |
| Both teams to score 54.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.96% | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.88% | 71.11% |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.76% | 23.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% | 57.14% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.46% | 28.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.67% | 64.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 9.68% 2-1 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.25% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.07% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.31% 1-2 @ 7.61% 0-2 @ 5.21% 1-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.32% 0-3 @ 2.18% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.48% |