Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.