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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 55.17% | 24.01% | 20.82% |
| Both teams to score 49.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.7% | 18.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.63% | 49.37% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% | 38.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% | 75.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ipswich Town | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 2.33% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.17% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% 1-2 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.43% 0-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.44% Total : 20.82% |