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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 40.11% | 27.35% | 32.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% | 77.23% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.91% | 32.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.43% | 68.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 8.37% 2-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.05% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.11% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 5.68% 1-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.15% 2-3 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.53% |