Home > Football > League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Plymouth Argyle | 46 | 20 | 80 |
| 8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Cheltenham Town | 46 | -14 | 56 |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 63.05% | 20.32% | 16.63% |
| Both teams to score 54.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.71% | 41.29% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.31% | 63.69% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% | 12.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.53% | 38.47% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% | 38.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% | 74.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 2-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 3.58% 3-2 @ 3.33% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.52% Total : 63.04% | 1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.8% 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 4.61% 0-1 @ 4.59% 0-2 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.18% Total : 16.63% |