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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 48.79% | 24.72% | 26.49% |
| Both teams to score 54.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% | 70.54% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% | 19.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% | 51.99% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.49% | 32.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.96% | 69.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 5.1% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.88% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.26% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.08% 1-3 @ 2.47% 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.49% |