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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 25.35% | 24.15% | 50.5% |
| Both teams to score 54.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% | 46.87% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% | 69.13% |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.4% | 32.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.86% | 69.15% |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.41% | 18.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.13% | 49.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.49% |